Look, I know I said a couple weeks ago that Harry Reid was in big trouble to get reelected.
But things have changed.
For those of you in Vegas, let me fill you in on Senator Reid's newly announced challenger Sharon Angle. Angle had been an Assemblywomen from heavily Republican district 26, which includes parts of Reno, Washoe Valley and the North Shore of Lake Tahoe. After giving up her seat[Dullard Mush] in 2006 to take on former Secretary of State Dean Heller in a VERY ugly primary battle for the open congressional seat vacated by our current idiot governor Jim Gibbons. Equally wing nut Ty Cobb Jr. eventually won the AD26 seat, after another GOP Primary throwdown.
In the Cogressional race, Angle managed to bitterly split the GOP in the district, alienating many, and smearing Dean Heller all over the media. Heller eventually won the primary but faced a much more difficult challenge (in the overwhelmingly Red Congressional District) with Democrat Jill Derby in November then he should have.
In 2008, instead of a running against Cobb or Heller, Angle decided this time to go after State Senate Majority Leader Bill Raggio. Again Angle broke out the nasty behavior and went to work on a fellow Republican, while linking up even further with the growing "I hate taxes-Nothing else matters" Ron Paul gang.
Put simply, Angle has no chance in hell and beating Harry Reid. She will, based on her last three election attempts, have the ability and propensity to bloody up "the Legitimate GOP challenger" in the primary season, requiring the candidate to take their eye off the ball to deal with her.
There will only be about three months for the GOP primary victor to concentrate fully on Reid. Reid, however, is already holding events, raising wads of cash and having people like President Obama campaign for him in the state. And although Nevada is full of crazy people, I don't think anyone's crazy enough to run against Reid in the Democratic primary.
So in other words, Angle entering the race for Senate changes everything.
Reid will certainly win. Thanks Sharon!
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Sharron Angle didn't lose her seat AD-26 seat to Ty Cobb in 2004. She gave it up in 2006 to take on Dean Heller and Dawn Gibbons for CD-2 in what was a brutal and close battle. The AD-26 race was also nasty and close that year with Cobb prevailing over Mike Dillon.
ReplyDeleteI'm not sure the GOP will even send up a realistic candidate to have a bloody primary. But if they do somehow convince a Kenny Guinn or so, I don't believe Angle will be a factor. She works the ground better than most anyone for the smaller contests, but for the Senate it will all be big money. Her run against Heller was mainly fueled by Club For Growth dollars and I don't think they will waste any cash on her in 2010.
Damn Zeke. Dawn was running for CD-2 not AD-26.
ReplyDeleteStill, your point of how Reid must be mighty happy Angle has entered the race is valid. But I still think she will fade away in a GOP primary if a better candidate is found.