Monday, October 13, 2008

Sorry, Nevada is Still Very Close

I'm sorry, but I don't believe the poll. The Las Vegas Review Journal's this weekend that shows Obama and McCain closer than other polls have suggested lately.

I also don't believe the polls that have shown Obama running away with it here in the Silver State.

In fact, I don't believe ANY polls. They're all wrong.

I think, that with the polarization and "Base reaffirming" activities of McCain Palin lately, I think Nevada is a dead heat. Yes I know that the Dems have a 90,000 registration advantage, but the GOP always turns out big. I'd love to think this year will be different, but I don't know... some things just never change. And a 5% Turnout difference wipes away the Registration Advantage.

So what I'm saying is, your vote may be massively important. Don't believe the hype. And don't believe the counter hype. This sucker is seriously close in Nevada in both the Presidential and Congressional races.

This might be a shocker to some of the political neophytes, but sometimes campaigns LIKE to be seen as the underdog, or be "running away with the election". It's all part of the game.

3 comments:

  1. Good observations. We need to work very hard with the gotv. (Without pissing people off with repeated contacts OR STUPID ATTEMPTS TO CANVASS IN SECURED BLDGs! Okay, now I've gotten that off my chest.)

    Expect and presume nothing!

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  2. mr. jnani, where's there's a will, there's a way. my husband always finds a way! (utilizing technology borrowed from a race of folks hailing from an icy planet.)

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  3. okay, okay, mr. jnani. there's another way besides the teleportation device mr. claus is so fond of using in places without chimneys! a much more esoteric method of id/persuasion/gotv canvassing entails something mr. claus learned from eskimo shamans, to wit the "dream tango" magic of entering the dreams of folks. first, they will reveal TRUTHFULLY the identity of the candidate they will in fact vote for and secondly they will truely become conditioned to stand in line at 10am on Saturday, October 18th, the very first day (and moments) of early voting. using that, you should be able to turn out at least 69.8% of identified (remember, they're not lying to your face) obama supporters by the end of the first day of early voting. this is a surefire way of not only having direct contact with those in secured buildings, but also those more easily accessed in the "normal" way.

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